Russia’s statement of the end of war regarded as accept fait accompli – Analysts

The Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said in an interview with the Russian newspaper Trud: “The war in Syria has ended and only hotbeds of tension such as Idlib and the east of Euphrates have remained”.
Since the end of April 2019, the Russian forces have been supporting the Syrian government forces in their latest offensive on Idlib, northwest of the country, where Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) is in control of most of the region.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights has described the military escalation as the most violent, which caused casualties of more than 4050 people and displacing about least 752,000 people according to the observatory.
While east of the Euphrates is controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), backed by the Global Coalition forces to counter the Islamic State terrorist group (ISIS), while the Syrian government forces, Moscow’s ally has long threatened to attack and control these areas.

Semi-agreement
The Russian political analyst Farhad Batiyev told North-Press from Moscow that Lavrov means in his latest statement that the war against terrorist organizations is about to end, as Putin’s administration justifies its presence in Syria for the Russian and international community in the pretext of fighting against terrorism.
The end of this month marks the fourth anniversary of the official entry of Russian forces into the Syrian crisis.
Russian war-planes began their first raids on September 30, 2015, after the Russian Council had approved Putin’s request to use the armed forces outside the country.
Batiyev expected that the international forces operating in Syria have reached a near-agreement on the fight against the terrorist organizations as he described, so the Russian and Syrian forces will resume their attacks on Idlib.
He added that Russia wants to start the diplomatic movement despite knowing that the solution for the crisis is still far away, but it will try to find a consensus formula of what he called the war of interests, explaining that the Russian statement regarding the end of the war came from the foreign minister and not from any other officials.

Turkish guarantor
The member of the Secretariat of the Syrian National Democratic Conference and professor of diplomatic and strategic sciences, Hassan Faraj in an interview with North-Press said: “Sergei Lavrov’s statement is very important, and explains that there are no enemies for Russia to fight them on the Syrian territories due to the agreements that have been reached and will be made with both Turkey and Iran.
The Syrian politician said: “Apparently, Turkey will ensure the disarmament of al-Nusra Front ( currently known as Hayat Tahrir al-Sham HTS) and the other armed groups in the areas it controls”.
Hassan Faraj attaches importance to the trilateral summit in Ankara between Russia, Turkey and Iran on Monday.
Faraj also expects the political process to be pushed forward, and recalls the agreement between Putin and Macron before the G7 summit, the agreement of the security mechanism in the east of Euphrates where the Constitutional Commission is expected to begin its works at the end of this month.

Accepting the status quo
The Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov also talked about the importance of the formation of the Constitutional Committee and considered it a launch of direct negotiations between Damascus and the Syrian opposition.
The decision to form the Constitutional Committee was made during the Russian-sponsored Syrian National Dialogue Conference in Sochi.
The Security Expert and International Affairs Strategist Dr. Rajaei Harb, told North-Press: “The Russian statement is the result of a four-way understanding between the United States, Russia, Turkey and the Syrian government”.
As for the details of the understanding, the strategic expert said: “There are ongoing negotiations, away from the global media outlets”.
He added: “The quartet understanding means acceptance of the status quo that is, remaining Bashar al-Assad in the ruling authority as a President, respecting the Russian presence in Syria, the U.S. presence in the north and east, and the Turkish presence in the northwest of Syria”.
However, Dr. Rajaei wondered: “Will these understandings stand up in front of the US-Turkish dispute over the security mechanism in northeastern Syria, or will they resolve this difference through points of view?”