Fate of rules of engagement with Hezbollah after the downing of an Israeli drone

Beirut – North Press Agency

Layal Kharoubi  

The field scene in southern Lebanon has been reheated as Hezbollah claimed its responsibility for the fall of an Israeli drone on the town of Ramiyeh, at a time where the party was content to give a brief statement listing the time and place of the operation, and how it was done represented by the “appropriate weapons”.

Hezbollah didn’t reveal any other details, but waiting for the Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah’s expected appearance on Tuesday on the occasion of the tenth of Muharram, which is expected to carry more clarifications regarding the operation.

In terms of form, the operation was carried out in the context of implementing Nasrallah’s previous threats to target the Israeli drones which were violating the Lebanese airspace in response to the drones which assaulted on the southern suburbs of Beirut, Dahieh al-Janoubiya, Hezbollah’s stronghold at the end of August, but field data along the inflamed map from Syria to Iraq and Lebanon suggest that there is a real war which is far from the traditional frameworks of the war, where the news of targeting the Israeli drone in southern Lebanon coincided with air strikes targeted the sites of the Iranian forces and groups loyal to them in Al-Bukamal region in the province of Deir ez-Zor east of Syria, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, which counted the death of 18 people. 

In this regard, the military expert Samir al-Hassan told North-Press that the region has entered a new phase of confrontation imposed by the Israeli strategy of partial movable strikes on more than one front without entering a conventional, extensive and comprehensive war, adding that “talks of an election campaign for Netanyahu on the ground is inaccurate, Netanyahu is benefiting from his field movements electrically, but what is happening is a strategic choice for the Israeli military establishment”.  

Al-Hassan also pointed out that “by targeting the Israeli route, Hezbollah has violated the de facto rules of engagement since 2006, and established new rules of air defense, which is the first experiment in the history of Lebanon, because no one has broken the Israeli air superiority since the beginning of the Israeli wars against Lebanon”.

As for the party’s discretion on the details of the operation, al-Hassan explained, that “Hezbollah used to reveal its military system gradually, and it shouldn’t reveal the power of its air deterrence at once”.

Regarding the prospects of a full-scale war, al-Hassan didn’t rule out this possibility, adding that he believes that “the possibility of uncontrollable field conditions is always there, because no one can guarantee that the repercussions of any limited local confrontation will be permanently reversed, as to what happened last week after the party had targeted an Israeli vehicle in the settlement of Avivim”, i