{"id":43866,"date":"2019-07-18T11:00:06","date_gmt":"2019-07-18T11:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/npasyria.com\/en\/?p=43866"},"modified":"2019-07-18T11:00:06","modified_gmt":"2019-07-18T11:00:06","slug":"Analysis - Erdogan's autumn, the loss of Istanbul to the dissociation of AK Party ","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/npasyria.com\/en\/43866\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis &#8211; Erdogan&#8217;s autumn, the loss of Istanbul to the dissociation of AK Party"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><b><font face=\"georgia\">Beirut \u2013 North-Press Agency<\/font><\/b><\/div>\n<div><b><font face=\"georgia\">Khorshid Delli&nbsp;<\/font><\/b><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan lives one of the worst moments of his political life, though he is at the top of the pyramid of the presidential regime which he has built himself, his shining star in the Arab world, in the wake of his fiery speeches about Jerusalem and Gaza, gradually turned to the contrary after all discovered that the man does not care about all of that but his authority and the interests of his country and that his interventions in the name of supporting the Arab Spring uprisings have turned into the support of terrorist groups on the ground leading to spread chaos, mix the cards and hit the path of the democratic transformation in the region, but what disturbs Erdogan more is not the loss of his popularity in the Arab world, but what is going on inside his country, and the major losses he suffering from.<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">In the municipal elections, especially in the run-off elections in Istanbul, and then the current disintegration of his ruling party, where former and current senior leaders of the Justice and Development Authority began to raise their voices in the face of Erdogan after a long silence of his practices and behavior seeking to establish new parties from the womb of Justice and Development Party.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">The most important is the economic crisis that threatens Erdogan&#8217;s regime to collapse, in light of the exposure of the policy that manages this economy by his white palace, family and son-in-law, all of which are indications of the decline of the Erdoganism and its entry into the stage of political death.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><b><font face=\"georgia\">One man&#8217;s rule&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/font><\/b><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">We cannot watch what is going on in Turkey as an instantaneous event, but it needs a comprehensive reading that brings us back to the moment of the arrival of the Justice and Development Party (AK Parti) to power in 2002, according to the rules of the democratic game through the ballot boxes, at the time the party was keen to present itself as a reformist party committed to the principals of democracy and secularism upon which the Turkish Republic was founded, but as soon as he was able to control the political life, Erdogan began to turn his tactical steps into a strategy of taking power, then began the stage of changing the political system from within through a series of successive steps.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">He succeeded in putting judiciary, education, media, economy and the army under his control, and this change often took two contradictory titles:&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">The first is the Reform, which mainly aimed at restructuring the rule and the political system until the presidential system.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">The second was the war against terrorism which was in fact, a war against &#8220;all those who oppose Erdogan&#8217;s policies&#8221;, a war that has reached everyone, from the Kurds to his former ally, Fethullah Gulen, to various opposition groups and civil society, this approach became overt after the military coup in the summer of 2016, after which Turkey had become the state of one man, who governs the country by the mentality of the Sultan.<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><b><font face=\"georgia\">Istanbul mayoral elections<\/font><\/b><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">There is a consensus among the Turks that the stage of AKP post-defeat in Istanbul mayoral elections is not the same as before. for the first time, the AK Party is subjected to such severe defeat, with Erdogan assuming direct responsibility for it. It seems that the first repercussions of this defeat emerged within the party itself, as the most watchful thing among the Turks, is the formation of new parties from the womb of the AK Party.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">What is remarkable is that most of those who are talking about their intention of forming new parties, are prominent members of Justice and Development Party, when Erdogan and his fellows decided to from the party, who were members of Virtue Party in 2001, as they told the leader of the party and the founder of the political Islam in Turkey Necmettin Erbakan of their intention to establish a new party.<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">The Justice and Development Party (AK Parti), which introduced itself as a moderate and restorative party, today, the same scenario repeats itself with the visit of the former leader Ali Babacan to Erdogan some time ago and informing him of his intention to establish a new party before submitting his resignation from AK Party. In addition to Babacan, the former Turkish President Abdullah Gul is acting as the guide in every movement and step and communicates with other parties in the country.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">In parallel to the efforts of Babacan and Gul, the name of former Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu, the ideologue of the ideology of the Justice and Development Party (AK Parti), emerges to establish a new party as well, remarkably, Mr. Davutoglu is the most person who raises his voice in the face of Erdogan and criticizes him harshly after being the most person who applied his policies and was silent for his deeds.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">This comes amid the talks about vertical and horizontal splits within the party, there are those who say that Erdogan emptied the party from its people and turned it into a one-man party, especially since it is the first time that the same person became president as well as the presidency of the ruling party, there are also those who say that AKP had become a group of divided blocks, controlled by a layer of businessmen close to Erdogan and his family.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">With the efforts of establishing new Turkish parties, and the emergence of Akram Emamoglu after his victory as the mayor of Istanbul, Turkey seems to be facing political changes from within, especially since the talks about 100 members from the Justice and Development Party would be joining Babacan&#8217;s party, this will lead to the formation of a new parliamentary bloc within the parliament, which will lead to the loss of the majority of AKP in the parliament on one hand, and on the other hand, the possibility of calling for a referendum to retreat the presidential system and return to the parliamentary one with a new formula, also, the call for early presidential and parliamentary elections, meaning the possibility of shortening Erdogan&#8217;s presidential period.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">In addition to the above, The Peoples&#8217; Democratic Party, remains an influential party in Turkish and Kurdish circles, in case of the release of the former party leader Selahattin Demirtas from jail next Tuesday, where his trial is scheduled, the Turkish opposition will receive additional support, where the Turkish political scene will be in front of a rising trio, consisted of Imamoglu, Babacan and Demirtas, and perhaps such a trio will push the Turkish opposition that opposes Erdogan to direct political confrontation with him.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><b><font face=\"georgia\">Turning the table&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/font><\/b><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">In light of the collapse of Erdogan&#8217;s policy and the dangers of the worsening economic crisis on the impact of the US-Turkish dispute over the Russian S-400 missile system deal, attention is focused on Erdogan and how will he act in the upcoming stage, and how will he face these challenges, especially the schisms in his party?&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">There are those who believe that Erdogan has only to make real reforms in order to contain the leaders who are being opposed to him, but in fact who knows Erdogan&#8217;s character must exclude such an option, as he&#8217;s used to saying that those who leave their ship, their fate is to be dumped by history and the days will punish them.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">So, it&#8217;s necessary to think about other scenarios that Erdogan may resort to, perhaps this explains the leaking of the close circles to him about the close launch of a peace process with the Kurds and specifically with the Kurdish jailed leader Abdullah Ocalan, who was detained two decades ago, and perhaps such an option comes within Erdogan thoughts by turning the table over all of his opponents.&nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\"><br \/><\/font><\/div>\n<div><font face=\"georgia\">It&#8217;s not necessarily about having a real intention to achieve a political solution for the Kurdish question, especially that his fighter jets keep bombing Kurdish positions inside and outside of the country.&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/font><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Beirut \u2013 North-Press Agency Khorshid Delli&nbsp; Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan lives one of the worst moments of his political life, though he is at the top of the pyramid of the presidential regime which he has built himself, his shining star in the Arab world, in the wake of his fiery speeches about Jerusalem [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":43867,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"pgc_sgb_lightbox_settings":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43866","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-middle-east"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Analysis - Erdogan&#039;s autumn, the loss of Istanbul to the dissociation of AK Party  - North press agency<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Beirut \u2013 North-Press AgencyKhorshid Delli&nbsp;Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan lives one of the worst moments of his political life, though he is\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/npasyria.com\/en\/43866\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analysis - Erdogan&#039;s autumn, the loss of Istanbul to the dissociation of AK Party  - North press agency\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Beirut \u2013 North-Press AgencyKhorshid Delli&nbsp;Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan lives one of the worst moments of his political life, though he is\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/npasyria.com\/en\/43866\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"North press agency\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/NPA.SYR\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-07-18T11:00:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/npasyria.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/850\/148707.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"kamiran\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@NPA_English\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@NPA_English\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"kamiran\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"7 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/npasyria.com\\\/en\\\/43866\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/npasyria.com\\\/en\\\/43866\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"kamiran\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/npasyria.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/5496830792f4d6381465570c257beb73\"},\"headline\":\"Analysis &#8211; 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